0. International Political Economics & New Economies (updated on 2022.June.22)

0. Background: See link Modernization

• Technology & Investment/Finance (2 wheels of industrialization) from Europe and British Empire -> US -> WTO (World Trade & International Division of Labor) 
• Oil & Currency (USD/CNY?)
• Since 2019, how pandemic diseases (e.g. COVID-19) will change the world? Border closed -> Regional Segregation -> Secure resources (medical, medicines, vaccines, automation & 5G/AIs..) -> New Supply Chain/Logistics 
•  Since 2022 Feb-24, Russia-Ukrian war also causes heavy inflation (gas, grains..)
• US FED raises interest rate in June, July, ..of 2022.
• Slow down or Recession?
  

1. US International Strategies

• US against Russia, Japan, Islam, China
• US allies: Europe, The Five Eyes, Japan.. (Indo-Pacific)
• Let Labor-intensive industries go to: Mexico, Southeast, India..
• Keep knowledge-intensive industries in US and promote USD as a word-trade currency (open markets, trade deficit, technology & industry & education, entertainments, culture..).
• Open China Market (WTO, trade negotiations..) <= Game Theory playing =>> New Cold War between US vs.China allies (redistributing trade deficit to other friendly countries)
• West (US/EU) against East (Russia/China)?

2. China International Strategies

• Internal: Xi learned from Mao and his experience during Cultural Revolution (1966~1976). He set concentration camps for Xinjiang dissidents and sent in obedient people and armies to rule them. Now, I speculate he'll do similar things to Hong-Kong and Taiwan. Less blood inside and less opposition outside. Take control over these regions slowly and quietly.

• International: Xi learned from US. Expand trade and economic influence and promote RMB as a word-trade currency (The Belt and Road). 

• Xi keeps his ruling (autocracy of one party mixing Ching Dynasty + Mao ruling) without the limit of 10 years. It will delay China's further economic development in decades until his death like Mao.

• Xi's main character looks like the Hoarding orientation which positive & negative aspects are as the following descriptions in Erich Fromm's book "Man for Himself" published in 1947. 

Positive Aspect	Negative Aspect
practical	unimaginative
economical	stingy
careful	suspicious
reserved	cold
patient	lethargic
cautious	anxious
steadfast, tenacious	stubborn
imperturbable	indolent
composed under stress	inert
orderly	pedantic
methodical	obsessional
loyal	possessive

2.1 Hong Kong People's Awakening

• 1949 Sino-British Joint Declaration: HK would be returned to China in 1997 and kept autonomous for 50 years until 2047 (One country, two systems).
• Hong Kong played a role for attracting foreign investments and kept booming.
• 2019 Hong Kong People found CCP's ruling was getting in because of Extradition Law Amendment Bill. They were awakened and fighting for autonomy.
• Tibet and Xinjiang are the examples for them. CCP is the most wicked organization in the world like Nazi.

2.2 Taiwan International strategies

• Cooperate with US as one ally (President Tsai Ing-wen).
• Expand trade and economic influence (a bridge between developed countries and developing countries),
• Competitive Industries: Semiconductor, ICT, 5G/AIot, ..
• Strategic Industries for future development in Asia-Pacific: Medical & Health Care Center (Biotechnology), Financial Center & Services (take part of HK's funding and experts), Aerospace Technology, Chinese Cultural creation (Pop music, movies..), Agriculture & Ecology Center, ..

Note: Center is an application & data center (a platform, a network & a supply chain). It doesn't have to be big or tangible. 

3. Russia International Strategies

• Putin (autocracy of one party and his charisma) exploits Russia's natural resources (Oil, gas, metals,,) and military forces to gain political and economical advantages.
• Putin's main character looks like the Exploitative orientation which positive & negative aspects are as the following descriptions in Erich Fromm's book "Man for Himself" published in 1947. 

Positive Aspect	Negative Aspect
active	exploitative
able to take initiative	aggressive
Able to make claims	egocentric
proud	conceited
impulsive	rash
self-confident	arrogant
captivating	seducing

4. Demography

• Aging society with fewer children 
• M-Form Society
• Movement of People (tourists, immigrants- capital, skilled, young..): See link Demography (Video in Chinese subtitle)

5. New Economies

• ICT: Computer & 3C 2/2.5G -> Cell Phones 3/4G -> Big Data & AI & 5G
• Digital contents (TV/Movies, Vlog, live broadcasting..)
• ID & Security check
• The Experience Economy: experience, sensational, entertainment, culture & culture differences, art, theme facilities, events, AR/VR, personal..
• Movement of People (tourists, immigrants- capital, skilled, young..)
• Medical & Medicare Economy (because of aging society and unhealthy foods & lives)
• Pandemic diseases (e.g. COVID-19) will destroy, re-build world economy, re-organize UN/WTO/WHO, and accelerate the applications of automation & AIs.

References

1. Lecture "Service Sector: Its Essentials, Value Creation and Business Models" (by Prof.  Chiang, Chiung-Tsung, College of Management, National Taiwan University)
2. See also the following link: Basic 1. Types of Human Characters extracted from Erich Fromm's book " Man for Himself" (1947);